Many quarterly and monthly BOND YIELD charts are close to confirming a LONGTERM YIELD failure, in a similar fashion to some EQUITY markets.
BONDS UPDATE :
Many quarterly and monthly BOND YIELD charts are close to confirming a LONGTERM YIELD failure, in a similar fashion to some EQUITY markets.
The next BIG TRADE is US STEEPENERS : As mentioned before many RSI’s are WAY over sold and the recent POP to the 61.8% rets served to recognise the BIG BREAK level. If we close above any of the 61.8% rets this should TRIGGER a sustained long-term steepening. Analysing the charts it looks LIKE US 5-30 or 10-30 the ideal steepener in the US.
- Yields are close to breaching levels where we will see a MAJOR DROP
- (US 5yr and UK 10yr). ALL durations are stretched, quarterly, monthly, weekly and daily… this is RARE!
- Looking at the previous Equity piece, European stocks look a LONGTERM failure thus I firmly believe this mean BONDS rally.
3) Germany 26’s bonds based well as do the FUTURES post yesterdays intraday REVERSAL.
4) UK yields have a LOFTY RSI and UKTI POISED to bounce. UK 10yr all eyes on a continued breach of 1.489 (10yr Gilts).
- image001.jpg@01D21F13.B69A4950">
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FX UPDATE...Cable strength is widening the EUR GBP bollingers. The Euro should fail soon!.17.04.2018
- Cable strength is forcing the EUR GBP bollingers wider confirming this as HUGE trend for the next few years!
- The EUR USD, is still yet to breach the all-important 1.2167.
- USD EM has seen many BLOW OUT scenarios but a TOP might be in for USD RUB and USD TRY.
- USD CAD has been a major call and bounced well from the moving average. This should persist now we are above the 1.300 level.
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The weekends events have done “little” to effect the markets BUT we are failing at the MAJOR bollinger averages therefore the BIAS remains for LOWER.
The weekend’s events have done “little” to effect the markets BUT we are failing at the MAJOR bollinger averages therefore the BIAS remains for LOWER. It will be interesting to see if the bollinger averages work!
** REMEMBER ALL EYES ON EUROPE, ESPECIALLY FTSE, they led the way before **
Post Mark Zuckerberg HOUSE grilling I was personally was not impressed.
It seemed to blame the public for using the platform and freely offering their details. If banks sold peoples personal information, they’d face millions in fines. Am sure regulation will catch up with this sector as long as that is BALANCED with FREE surveillance for government bodies.
The NASDAQ IS NOW close to EMULATING the 2000 DROP (see page 16).
German and UK bonds are helping the cause given they are posting NEW JUNE highs everywhere.
As mentioned I still fancy an old fashioned stocks DOWN bonds UP and bonds are HOLDING.
** KEY CHART FAILURE LEVELS ARE 2, 16 and 17. **
- image001.jpg@01D21F13.B69A4950">
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**We are entering a potentially explosive situation over the weekend with Syria and MANY equity markets are testing KEY BOLLINGER AVERAGE resistance.**
**We are entering a potentially explosive situation over the weekend with Syria and MANY equity markets are testing KEY BOLLINGER AVERAGE resistance.**
Post Mark Zuckerberg HOUSE grilling I was personally was not impressed.
It seemed to blame the public for using the platform and freely offering their details. If banks sold peoples personal information, they’d face millions in fines. Am sure regulation will catch up with this sector as long as that is BALANCED with FREE surveillance for government bodies.
The NASDAQ IS NOW close to EMULATING the 2000 DROP (see page 16).
German and UK bonds are helping the cause given they are posting NEW JUNE highs everywhere.
As mentioned I still fancy an old fashioned stocks DOWN bonds UP and bonds are HOLDING.
** KEY CHART FAILURE LEVELS ARE 2, 16 and 17. **
- image001.jpg@01D21F13.B69A4950">
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FX UPDATE...This has been a quiet sector but the EURO still KEY. USD RUB and USD TRY might now have a high. 12.04.2018
- FX UPDATE... The only focus is the EUR USD, which is still yet to breach the all-important 1.2167.
- USD EM has seen many BLOW OUT scenarios but a TOP might be in for USD RUB and USD TRY.
- USD CAD has been a major call and bounced well from the moving average. This should persist now we are above the 1.300 level.
- The EURO is on the brink of a MAJOR statement should we breach the 1.2167.
- image001.jpg@01D21F13.B69A4950">
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US CURVE UPDATE.. FRUSTRATING could be one word, the RSI's remain HISTORICALLY dislocated, we HAVE to BASE soon. .12.042018
US CURVE continue to tease!
This remains well and truly on the RADAR given the MULTI YEAR RSI dislocations and ALL rejected major 61.8% retracements on the last steepening. It is and will be the trade to be in for the next few years, just hard picking a base lately.
The BIGGEST issue is timing and location to PUT ON THE STEEPENER, it has to be soon!
** Trade idea : Between myself and David Sansom we have
3 trade options that are happy to send and discuss. **
Does a stock failure lead to a steepening? I have added an inverse Nasdaq to some charts.
- image001.jpg@01D21F13.B69A4950">
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- • This marketing was prepared by Christopher Williams, a consultant with Astor Ridge. It is not appropriate to characterize this e-mail as independent investment research as referred to in MiFID and that it should be treated as a marketing communication even if it contains a trade recommendation. A history of marketing materials and research reports can be provided upon request in compliance with the European Commission’s Market Abuse Regulation. Astor Ridge takes no proprietary trading risk, has no market making facilities, and has no position in any security we discuss in this e-mail. The views in this e-mail are those of the author(s) and are subject to change, and Astor Ridge has no obligation to update its opinions or the information in this publication. If this e-mail contains opinions or recommendations, those opinions or recommendations reflect solely and exclusively those of the author, and such opinions were prepared independently of any other interests, including those of Astor Ridge and/or its affiliates. This publication does not constitute personal investment advice or take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of the those who receive it. The securities discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. Astor Ridge recommends that investors independently evaluate each issuer, security or instrument discussed herein, and consult any independent advisors they believe necessary. The value of, and income from, any investment may fluctuate from day to day as a result of changes in relevant economic markets (including changes in market liquidity). The information herein is not intended to predict actual results, which may differ substantially from those reflected. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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- • You should not use or disclose to any other person the contents of this e-mail or its attachments (if any), nor take copies. This e-mail is not a representation or warranty and is not intended nor should it be taken to create any legal relations, contractual or otherwise. This e-mail and any files transmitted with it are confidential, may be legally privileged, and are for the sole use of the intended recipient. Copyright in this e-mail and any accompanying document created by Astor Ridge LLP is owned by Astor Ridge LLP.
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- • Astor Ridge NA LLP is a member of the National Futures Association (NFA): Firm ID Number 0499303
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Equity UPDATE .PRE earnings season and Post Mr. Zuckerberg. Stocks have recovered BUT technically need to fail during earnings season to vindicate the quarterly signals. .. . .12.04.2018
Stocks have recovered this month as expected BUT technically need to fail during earnings season to vindicate the quarterly signals.
Post Mark Zuckerberg HOUSE grilling I was personally was not impressed.
It seemed to blame the public for using the platform and freely offering their details. If banks sold peoples personal information, they’d face millions in fines. Am sure regulation will catch up with this sector as long as that is BALANCED with FREE surveillance for government bodies.
The NASDAQ IS NOW close to EMULATING the 2000 DROP (see page 16).
German and UK bonds are helping the cause given they are posting NEW JUNE highs everywhere.
As mentioned I still fancy an old fashioned stocks DOWN bonds UP and bonds are HOLDING.
** KEY CHART FAILURE LEVELS ARE 1, 16 and 17. **
- image001.jpg@01D21F13.B69A4950">
- UK: 14-16 Dowgate Hill, London EC4R 2SU
- US: 245 Park Ave, 39th Floor, NY, NY, 10167
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- • This marketing was prepared by Christopher Williams, a consultant with Astor Ridge. It is not appropriate to characterize this e-mail as independent investment research as referred to in MiFID and that it should be treated as a marketing communication even if it contains a trade recommendation. A history of marketing materials and research reports can be provided upon request in compliance with the European Commission’s Market Abuse Regulation. Astor Ridge takes no proprietary trading risk, has no market making facilities, and has no position in any security we discuss in this e-mail. The views in this e-mail are those of the author(s) and are subject to change, and Astor Ridge has no obligation to update its opinions or the information in this publication. If this e-mail contains opinions or recommendations, those opinions or recommendations reflect solely and exclusively those of the author, and such opinions were prepared independently of any other interests, including those of Astor Ridge and/or its affiliates. This publication does not constitute personal investment advice or take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of the those who receive it. The securities discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. Astor Ridge recommends that investors independently evaluate each issuer, security or instrument discussed herein, and consult any independent advisors they believe necessary. The value of, and income from, any investment may fluctuate from day to day as a result of changes in relevant economic markets (including changes in market liquidity). The information herein is not intended to predict actual results, which may differ substantially from those reflected. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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Equity UPDATE .PRE earnings season. Stocks have recovered well BUT technically need to fail during earnings season to vindicate the quarterly signals. .. . .10.04.2018
Equity update as we approach earnings season.
Stocks have recovered well as expected BUT technically need to fail during earnings season to vindicate the quarterly signals. ALL TO PLAY FOR HERE.
The “TECH” sector is the worrying sector.
The NASDAQ IS NOW close to EMULATING the 2000 DROP (see page 16).
German and UK bonds are helping the cause given they are posting NEW JUNE highs everywhere.
As mentioned I still fancy an old fashioned stocks DOWN bonds UP and bonds are HOLDING.
** KEY CHART FAILURE LEVELS ARE 8 and 17. **
- image001.jpg@01D21F13.B69A4950">
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- • This marketing was prepared by Christopher Williams, a consultant with Astor Ridge. It is not appropriate to characterize this e-mail as independent investment research as referred to in MiFID and that it should be treated as a marketing communication even if it contains a trade recommendation. A history of marketing materials and research reports can be provided upon request in compliance with the European Commission’s Market Abuse Regulation. Astor Ridge takes no proprietary trading risk, has no market making facilities, and has no position in any security we discuss in this e-mail. The views in this e-mail are those of the author(s) and are subject to change, and Astor Ridge has no obligation to update its opinions or the information in this publication. If this e-mail contains opinions or recommendations, those opinions or recommendations reflect solely and exclusively those of the author, and such opinions were prepared independently of any other interests, including those of Astor Ridge and/or its affiliates. This publication does not constitute personal investment advice or take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of the those who receive it. The securities discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. Astor Ridge recommends that investors independently evaluate each issuer, security or instrument discussed herein, and consult any independent advisors they believe necessary. The value of, and income from, any investment may fluctuate from day to day as a result of changes in relevant economic markets (including changes in market liquidity). The information herein is not intended to predict actual results, which may differ substantially from those reflected. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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Bond UPDATE .. ALARM BELLS are ringing. MANY long-term yield charts last month left major UPSIDE BOLLINGER PIERCES, quarterly’s especially. . 10.04.2018.
BONDS UPDATE :
ALARM BELLS are ringing. MANY long-term yield charts last month left major UPSIDE BOLLINGER PIERCES, quarterly’s especially. The US needs a little MORE clarification whilst GERMANY seems ONE WAY already.
Germany and UK, although its quiet the quarterly charts are VERY terminal, we have two MASSIVE reversal rejections. German yields look ONE WAY i.e. LOWER (see page 26).
The next BIG TRADE is US STEEPENERS : As mentioned before many RSI’s are WAY over sold and the recent POP to the 61.8% rets served to recognise the BIG BREAK level.
*****Analysing the charts it looks LIKE US 5-30 or 10-30 the ideal steepener in the US.*****
- image001.jpg@01D21F13.B69A4950">
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- • This marketing was prepared by Christopher Williams, a consultant with Astor Ridge. It is not appropriate to characterize this e-mail as independent investment research as referred to in MiFID and that it should be treated as a marketing communication even if it contains a trade recommendation. A history of marketing materials and research reports can be provided upon request in compliance with the European Commission’s Market Abuse Regulation. Astor Ridge takes no proprietary trading risk, has no market making facilities, and has no position in any security we discuss in this e-mail. The views in this e-mail are those of the author(s) and are subject to change, and Astor Ridge has no obligation to update its opinions or the information in this publication. If this e-mail contains opinions or recommendations, those opinions or recommendations reflect solely and exclusively those of the author, and such opinions were prepared independently of any other interests, including those of Astor Ridge and/or its affiliates. This publication does not constitute personal investment advice or take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of the those who receive it. The securities discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. Astor Ridge recommends that investors independently evaluate each issuer, security or instrument discussed herein, and consult any independent advisors they believe necessary. The value of, and income from, any investment may fluctuate from day to day as a result of changes in relevant economic markets (including changes in market liquidity). The information herein is not intended to predict actual results, which may differ substantially from those reflected. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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SPECIAL UPDATE. Stocks deserve a bounce HOWEVER all eyes then on a weaker close at MONTH END .US curves POISED to STEEPEN.. 05.04.2018
- Here are some of the MORE MAJOR markets to watch.
- Biggest worry is nearly ALL stock markets are looking TERMINAL, including the US.
- The quarterly formations have significant UPSIDE PIERCES about to be “ETCHED” in history! The TOP is technically in place for several years to come.
- This LEADS to USD appreciation, just as the DXY finds support and BONDS offering “value”.
- Most European quarterly bond yield charts have STALLED.
- *We have a trade idea relating to US 5-30 so please contact and I will forward it*
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- • This marketing was prepared by Christopher Williams, a consultant with Astor Ridge. It is not appropriate to characterize this e-mail as independent investment research as referred to in MiFID and that it should be treated as a marketing communication even if it contains a trade recommendation. A history of marketing materials and research reports can be provided upon request in compliance with the European Commission’s Market Abuse Regulation. Astor Ridge takes no proprietary trading risk, has no market making facilities, and has no position in any security we discuss in this e-mail. The views in this e-mail are those of the author(s) and are subject to change, and Astor Ridge has no obligation to update its opinions or the information in this publication. If this e-mail contains opinions or recommendations, those opinions or recommendations reflect solely and exclusively those of the author, and such opinions were prepared independently of any other interests, including those of Astor Ridge and/or its affiliates. This publication does not constitute personal investment advice or take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of the those who receive it. The securities discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. Astor Ridge recommends that investors independently evaluate each issuer, security or instrument discussed herein, and consult any independent advisors they believe necessary. The value of, and income from, any investment may fluctuate from day to day as a result of changes in relevant economic markets (including changes in market liquidity). The information herein is not intended to predict actual results, which may differ substantially from those reflected. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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