Initial Run on all Benchmarks vs other things
Will then issue select by using the min/max Roll and Carry data to issue select
Probably need to re-jig the ordering to be maturity
I set the B/O to be = 0.15 bp on the futures CTDS so that it picks out Futures based liquidity trades
Ging forward gonna build something that looks at every pair and then picks the best, liq hedge mechanism to reduce the risk and see if there's a trade there vs more liquid expressions
James Rice
UK: 14-16 Dowgate Hill, London ec4r 2su
US: 60 rumson rd, rumson, nj 07760
Office: +44 (0) 203 - 143 - 4178
Mobile: +44 (0) 754 - 011 - 7705
Email: James.Rice@AstorRidge.com
Web: www.AstorRidge.com
This marketing was prepared by James Rice, a consultant with Astor Ridge. It is not appropriate to characterize this e-mail as independent investment research as referred to in MiFID and that it should be treated as a marketing communication even if it contains a trade recommendation. A history of marketing materials and research reports can be provided upon request in compliance with the European Commission's Market Abuse Regulation. Astor Ridge takes no proprietary trading risk, has no market making facilities, and has no position in any security we discuss in this e-mail. The views in this e-mail are those of the author(s) and are subject to change, and Astor Ridge has no obligation to update its opinions or the information in this publication. If this e-mail contains opinions or recommendations, those opinions or recommendations reflect solely and exclusively those of the author, and such opinions were prepared independently of any other interests, including those of Astor Ridge and/or its affiliates. This publication does not constitute personal investment advice or take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of the those who receive it. The securities discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. Astor Ridge recommends that investors independently evaluate each issuer, security or instrument discussed herein, and consult any independent advisors they believe necessary. The value of, and income from, any investment may fluctuate from day to day as a result of changes in relevant economic markets (including changes in market liquidity). The information herein is not intended to predict actual results, which may differ substantially from those reflected. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
You should not use or disclose to any other person the contents of this e-mail or its attachments (if any), nor take copies. This e-mail is not a representation or warranty and is not intended nor should it be taken to create any legal relations, contractual or otherwise. This e-mail and any files transmitted with it are confidential, may be legally privileged, and are for the sole use of the intended recipient. Copyright in this e-mail and any accompanying document created by Astor Ridge LLP is owned by Astor Ridge LLP.
Astor Ridge LLP is regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA): Registration Number 579287
Astor Ridge LLP is Registered in England and Wales with Companies House: Registration Number OC372185
Astor Ridge NA LLP is a member of FINRA/SIPC: CRD Number 282626
Astor Ridge NA LLP is a member of the National Futures Association (NFA): Firm ID Number 0499303
Astor Ridge NA LLP is Registered in England and Wales with Companies House: Registration Number OC401796
US AND CAD BREAKEVENS : WE ARE NOW FINALLY SEEING SOME MAJOR TOPS BEING FORMED, THEY SHOULD BE LONGTERM AND CONFIRMED BY MONTH END.
US AND CAD BREAKEVENS : WE ARE NOW FINALLY SEEING SOME MAJOR TOPS BEING FORMED, THEY SHOULD BE LONGTERM AND CONFIRMED BY MONTH END. THE RSI DISLOCATIONS FORECAST A VERY EXTENDED MOVE LOWER.
ENCOURAGING TO SEE THE BREAKEVENS CURVE CHARTS WORKED "VERY" WELL.
PREVIOUSLY :
WE HAVE HAD A FEW ATTEMPTS AT FORMING "HIGHS" BUT THIS TIME MORE FACTORS ARE COMING IN TO PLAY.
BREAKEVENS CONTINUE TO MAKE A "MASSIVE" STATEMENT FORMING VERY LONG-TERM TOPS! WE NEED THAT LAST PIECE OF CONFIRMATION VIA LOWER CLOSES AT MONTH END AND REMAINING SUB LAST MONTHS HIGHS.
IF THINGS PERSIST THEN THIS WILL BE THE START OF A "VERY BIG LONG-TERM TOP". ALL MONTHLY RSI'S ARE THE SAME "HISTORICALLY" DISLOCATED.
ASTOR RIDGE : Independent Ideas, Research, Liquidity, Anonymity and Trusted Experience.
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- • This marketing was prepared by Christopher Williams, a consultant with Astor Ridge. It is not appropriate to characterize this e-mail as independent investment research as referred to in MiFID and that it should be treated as a marketing communication even if it contains a trade recommendation. A history of marketing materials and research reports can be provided upon request in compliance with the European Commission's Market Abuse Regulation. Astor Ridge takes no proprietary trading risk, has no market making facilities, and has no position in any security we discuss in this e-mail. The views in this e-mail are those of the author(s) and are subject to change, and Astor Ridge has no obligation to update its opinions or the information in this publication. If this e-mail contains opinions or recommendations, those opinions or recommendations reflect solely and exclusively those of the author, and such opinions were prepared independently of any other interests, including those of Astor Ridge and/or its affiliates. This publication does not constitute personal investment advice or take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of the those who receive it. The securities discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. Astor Ridge recommends that investors independently evaluate each issuer, security or instrument discussed herein, and consult any independent advisors they believe necessary. The value of, and income from, any investment may fluctuate from day to day as a result of changes in relevant economic markets (including changes in market liquidity). The information herein is not intended to predict actual results, which may differ substantially from those reflected. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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- • You should not use or disclose to any other person the contents of this e-mail or its attachments (if any), nor take copies. This e-mail is not a representation or warranty and is not intended nor should it be taken to create any legal relations, contractual or otherwise. This e-mail and any files transmitted with it are confidential, may be legally privileged, and are for the sole use of the intended recipient. Copyright in this e-mail and any accompanying document created by Astor Ridge LLP is owned by Astor Ridge LLP.
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- • Chris
BOND YIELD MONTHLY AND QUARTERLY CHARTS : “CRUNCH TIME” AS WE APPROACH MONTHEND, WE “NEED” LOWER YIELDS IN TO THE CLOSE!
BOND YIELD MONTHLY AND QUARTERLY CHARTS : “CRUNCH TIME” AS WE APPROACH MONTHEND, WE “NEED” LOWER YIELDS IN TO THE CLOSE!
WE NEED TO BREAK THE “MOULD” OF LOWER-UNCHANGED MONTHLY CLOSES, NOW IS THE TIME TO SEE YIELDS FALL! IT LOOKS LIKE STOCK FAILURE WILL BE THE DRIVER.
PREVIOUSLY :
LAST MONTHS CLOSES DID NOTHING TO AID THE RSI DISLOCATIONS LOOKING FOR LOWER BOND YIELDS. THIS MONTH IS DIFFERENT GIVEN THE RECENT CURVE, STOCK AND SWAP MOVES. WE HAVE SOOOOOOOO MANY HISTORICAL DISLOCATIONS ACROSS MANY PRODUCTS AND FINALLY SOME ARE RESPONDING WITH THE EXCEPTION OF YIELDS. THIS MAY BE ABOUT TO CHANGE, WE CONTINUE TO HIT MULTI- YEAR YIELD LEVELS. THE FOLLOWING CHARTS HAVE NUMEROUS EXAMPLES “CALLING FOR THE START OF A YEILD FALL”.
*****MONTHLY RSI’S OFFER A SIMILAR DISLOCATION AND BACK-UP THE “RARE EXTREME EXTENSION” WE ARE AT, NOW WITH THE ADDITION OF NUMEROUS MOVING AVERAGE “HITS”. ****
**KEY CHARTS ARE** : US 30YR QUARTERLY, US 10YR MONTHLY, US 5YR QUARTERLY, CAD 10YR MONTHLY, UK 5YR MONTHLY. ALL CHARTS HAVE SIMILAR RSI EXTENSIONS MANY AT “NEVER” BEFORE SEEN LEVELS.
** WORTH A LOOK FOR THOSE LONGTERM PLAYERS **
ASTOR RIDGE : Independent Ideas, Research, Liquidity, Anonymity and Trusted Experience.
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- • If you are a MiFID firm and do not agree with our approach, and instead believe that you must pay for written commentary or trade recommendations, then Astor Ridge will accept payments determined by you.
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- • This marketing was prepared by Christopher Williams, a consultant with Astor Ridge. It is not appropriate to characterize this e-mail as independent investment research as referred to in MiFID and that it should be treated as a marketing communication even if it contains a trade recommendation. A history of marketing materials and research reports can be provided upon request in compliance with the European Commission’s Market Abuse Regulation. Astor Ridge takes no proprietary trading risk, has no market making facilities, and has no position in any security we discuss in this e-mail. The views in this e-mail are those of the author(s) and are subject to change, and Astor Ridge has no obligation to update its opinions or the information in this publication. If this e-mail contains opinions or recommendations, those opinions or recommendations reflect solely and exclusively those of the author, and such opinions were prepared independently of any other interests, including those of Astor Ridge and/or its affiliates. This publication does not constitute personal investment advice or take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of the those who receive it. The securities discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. Astor Ridge recommends that investors independently evaluate each issuer, security or instrument discussed herein, and consult any independent advisors they believe necessary. The value of, and income from, any investment may fluctuate from day to day as a result of changes in relevant economic markets (including changes in market liquidity). The information herein is not intended to predict actual results, which may differ substantially from those reflected. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
- •
- • You should not use or disclose to any other person the contents of this e-mail or its attachments (if any), nor take copies. This e-mail is not a representation or warranty and is not intended nor should it be taken to create any legal relations, contractual or otherwise. This e-mail and any files transmitted with it are confidential, may be legally privileged, and are for the sole use of the intended recipient. Copyright in this e-mail and any accompanying document created by Astor Ridge LLP is owned by Astor Ridge LLP.
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- • Astor Ridge LLP is regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA): Registration Number 579287
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- • Astor Ridge NA LLP is a member of FINRA/SIPC: CRD Number 282626
- • Astor Ridge NA LLP is a member of the National Futures Association (NFA): Firm ID Number 0499303
- • Astor Ridge NA LLP is Registered in England and Wales with Companies House: Registration Number OC401796
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- • If there is anything else you require from us to continue receiving our market communications, or prefer a different medium for access (e.g. publicly available password protected access on the Astor Ridge website), please do let me know.
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- • Chris
US STOCKS : GIVEN SINGLE STOCKS LOOK “VERY” VULNERABLE THEN STOCK PERFORMANCE INTO MONTH END IS “CRITICAL”!
US STOCKS : GIVEN SINGLE STOCKS LOOK “VERY” VULNERABLE THEN STOCK PERFORMANCE INTO MONTH END IS “CRITICAL”!
TECHNICALLY BONDS ARE READY TO SEE BOND YIELDS FALL, WHILST MANY SWAPS LOOK POISED TO ALSO FALL (SEE PREVIOUS PIECE) THEN STOCK MELT DOWN COULD BE THE KEY-DRIVE. WE ARE CLOSE TO SOME MAJOR BREACH LEVELS AND VOLUMES STATE “NO ONE” IS PANICED!
ANY “HOLD” SHOULD ENTICE THE “BUY ALL DIPS” BUYERS BACK IN, REMEMBER THIS IS A “DAMAGED GOODS”.
PREVIOUSLY :
THIS SHOULD ONLY BE A SHORT-TERM HOLD GIVEN BOND YIELDS HAVE POSTED NEW LOWS AND THEIR LONGTERM CHARTS NOW HAVE A “TOP”.
BITCOIN LOOKS TO HAVE GONE TOO FAR SO LIKE STOCKS MAY HOLD TEMPORARILY.
INTEL HAS RECOGNISED IT’S HUGE LEVEL 42.04, WE ARE THERE NOW! IF BREACHED IT SHOULD HELP SIGNAL MAJOOR FAILURE ELSEWHERE.
ASTOR RIDGE : Independent Ideas, Research, Liquidity, Anonymity and Trusted Experience.
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- •
- • If you are a MiFID firm and do not agree with our approach, and instead believe that you must pay for written commentary or trade recommendations, then Astor Ridge will accept payments determined by you.
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- • I also direct you to our disclaimer on our email footer:
- • This marketing was prepared by Christopher Williams, a consultant with Astor Ridge. It is not appropriate to characterize this e-mail as independent investment research as referred to in MiFID and that it should be treated as a marketing communication even if it contains a trade recommendation. A history of marketing materials and research reports can be provided upon request in compliance with the European Commission’s Market Abuse Regulation. Astor Ridge takes no proprietary trading risk, has no market making facilities, and has no position in any security we discuss in this e-mail. The views in this e-mail are those of the author(s) and are subject to change, and Astor Ridge has no obligation to update its opinions or the information in this publication. If this e-mail contains opinions or recommendations, those opinions or recommendations reflect solely and exclusively those of the author, and such opinions were prepared independently of any other interests, including those of Astor Ridge and/or its affiliates. This publication does not constitute personal investment advice or take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of the those who receive it. The securities discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. Astor Ridge recommends that investors independently evaluate each issuer, security or instrument discussed herein, and consult any independent advisors they believe necessary. The value of, and income from, any investment may fluctuate from day to day as a result of changes in relevant economic markets (including changes in market liquidity). The information herein is not intended to predict actual results, which may differ substantially from those reflected. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
- •
- • You should not use or disclose to any other person the contents of this e-mail or its attachments (if any), nor take copies. This e-mail is not a representation or warranty and is not intended nor should it be taken to create any legal relations, contractual or otherwise. This e-mail and any files transmitted with it are confidential, may be legally privileged, and are for the sole use of the intended recipient. Copyright in this e-mail and any accompanying document created by Astor Ridge LLP is owned by Astor Ridge LLP.
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- • Astor Ridge LLP is regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA): Registration Number 579287
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- • Astor Ridge NA LLP is a member of the National Futures Association (NFA): Firm ID Number 0499303
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- • If there is anything else you require from us to continue receiving our market communications, or prefer a different medium for access (e.g. publicly available password protected access on the Astor Ridge website), please do let me know.
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- • Many thanks,
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- • Chris
**SPECIAL SINGLE STOCK PRESENTATION** MANY SINGLE STOCKS CONTINUE FALL AND THE VOLUME SHOWS “ZERO” SIGN OF PANIC-DRAMA.
**SPECIAL SINGLE STOCK PRESENTATION** MANY SINGLE STOCKS CONTINUE FALL AND THE VOLUME SHOWS “ZERO” SIGN OF PANIC-DRAMA. THE LACK OF VOLUME ON MANY BIG BRAND NAMES IS A WORRY ESPECIALLY WHEN VIEWED ALONGSIDE, NETFLIX, PELTON AND PAYPAL. IT SEEMS PEOPLE HAVE GOOD ENTRY LEVELS BUT NO ATTEMPT HAS EVER BEEN MADE TO TAKE PROFITS, THIS SCENARIO COULD COST PEOPLE DEARLY.
TECHNICALLY IT SEEMS “NO ONE” IS PROGRAMMED ANYMORE TO TAKE PROFITS, THE RALLY FROM 2008 LOWS HAS ENGRAINED A “BUY DIPS” MENTALITY AS HISTORICALLY THE MARKET ALWAYS RECOVERS.
ADMITIEDLY A LOT OF THE VOLUME IN THE STOCKS MAKING UP THIS PRESENTATION HAVE BEEN INITIATED AT THE INCEPTION-LOWS BUT AS NETFLIX ETC SHOW THERE IS A FAST ROUTE TO “ZERO”. THERE WILL BE NO VOLUME FOR AN OUT EVEN IF PEOPLE FINALLY WANT TO.
THIS SEEMS A MODERN PHENOMENA AND SUITS THE OVER ALL BULL RUN WE HAVE SEEN BUT IT COULD BECOME AND EXPONENTIAL “WASH OUT”. EVERYTHING IS LIKELY TO BE MAGNIFIED AND MIGHT BE THE PERFECT DRIVER FOR BOND YIELDS TO FALL.
ALSO A REMINDER THAT A LOT OF INVESTMENT IN THESE MARKETS IS VIA “FREE TO EXECUTE” UNREGULATED PLATFORMS THAT EXPLODED DURING THE “LOCK DOWN” PERIOD. COINBASE SOME 98 MILLION PARTICIPANTS FOR CRYPTO HAS ALREADY STATED PEOPLE MANY WONT SEE THEIR MONEY IF THEY CONTINUE TO OPERATE AT A LOSS.
ASTOR RIDGE : Independent Ideas, Research, Liquidity, Anonymity and Trusted Experience.
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- • If you are a MiFID firm and do not agree with our approach, and instead believe that you must pay for written commentary or trade recommendations, then Astor Ridge will accept payments determined by you.
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- • I also direct you to our disclaimer on our email footer:
- • This marketing was prepared by Christopher Williams, a consultant with Astor Ridge. It is not appropriate to characterize this e-mail as independent investment research as referred to in MiFID and that it should be treated as a marketing communication even if it contains a trade recommendation. A history of marketing materials and research reports can be provided upon request in compliance with the European Commission’s Market Abuse Regulation. Astor Ridge takes no proprietary trading risk, has no market making facilities, and has no position in any security we discuss in this e-mail. The views in this e-mail are those of the author(s) and are subject to change, and Astor Ridge has no obligation to update its opinions or the information in this publication. If this e-mail contains opinions or recommendations, those opinions or recommendations reflect solely and exclusively those of the author, and such opinions were prepared independently of any other interests, including those of Astor Ridge and/or its affiliates. This publication does not constitute personal investment advice or take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of the those who receive it. The securities discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. Astor Ridge recommends that investors independently evaluate each issuer, security or instrument discussed herein, and consult any independent advisors they believe necessary. The value of, and income from, any investment may fluctuate from day to day as a result of changes in relevant economic markets (including changes in market liquidity). The information herein is not intended to predict actual results, which may differ substantially from those reflected. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
- •
- • You should not use or disclose to any other person the contents of this e-mail or its attachments (if any), nor take copies. This e-mail is not a representation or warranty and is not intended nor should it be taken to create any legal relations, contractual or otherwise. This e-mail and any files transmitted with it are confidential, may be legally privileged, and are for the sole use of the intended recipient. Copyright in this e-mail and any accompanying document created by Astor Ridge LLP is owned by Astor Ridge LLP.
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- • Astor Ridge LLP is regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA): Registration Number 579287
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- • Astor Ridge NA LLP is a member of the National Futures Association (NFA): Firm ID Number 0499303
- • Astor Ridge NA LLP is Registered in England and Wales with Companies House: Registration Number OC401796
- •
- •
- • If there is anything else you require from us to continue receiving our market communications, or prefer a different medium for access (e.g. publicly available password protected access on the Astor Ridge website), please do let me know.
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- • Many thanks,
- •
- • Chris
**PLEASE READ** SWAPS IDEAS AND ERZ2-Z3 UPDATE : THE SWAPS HAVE STARTED TO “TOP OUT” AGAINST VARIOUS LEVELS AND RSI EXTENSIONS, TIME NOW FOR SOME “ACCELERATION”.
PLEASE READ AS LONG-TERM TOPS BEING PRODUCED BASED ON THE RSI AND MARKET FORMATIONS.
SWAPS IDEAS AND ERZ2-Z3 UPDATE : THE SWAPS HAVE STARTED TO “TOP OUT” AGAINST VARIOUS LEVELS AND RSI EXTENSIONS, TIME NOW FOR SOME “ACCELERATION”.
**THIS ADDS VALUE TO THE “NUMEROUS” RSI DISLOCATIONS IN PREVIOUS PUBLICATIONS RELATING TO OTHER PRODUCTS**.
WE HAVE STARTED TO FORM “TOPS” ON ALL SWAPS STRATEGIES WITH SCOPE FOR MAJOR CORRECTIONS LOWER.
THE ER SPREAD MAY OF SEEN TOO MUCH VOLATILITY ALREADY SO COULD JUST CONSOLIDATE.
PREVIOUSLY :
ALL MONTHLY RSI’S REMAIN EXTREMLY STRETCHED THUS IS WE REVERSE IT WILL BE FOR SOME TIME!
BOTH THE US AND UK 1Y1Y STAND OUT THE MOST GIVEN THEY ARE BOTH AT MULTI YEAR RETRACEMENTS.
**LEVELS MAY VARY GIVEN THE USE OF LINE CHARTS**.
ASTOR RIDGE : Independent Ideas, Research, Liquidity, Anonymity and Trusted Experience.
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- • I provide our research notification below for your convenience:
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- • Research Unbundling:
- •
- • Astor Ridge does not provide independent research. We have no dedicated or paid strategists, research portals, or research subscriptions. However, you may receive unsolicited marketing communications from our Introducing Brokers from time to time, which may refer to specific trade recommendations. These recommendations are based solely on the opinion of the author, and are not official research recommendations of Astor Ridge.We have considered guidance from ESMA, and any written material from our Introducing Brokers that might fall within the scope of the rules will be provided for free, and made publicly available on our website, to any EU Investment firm that registers for it.
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- • If you are a MiFID firm and do not agree with our approach, and instead believe that you must pay for written commentary or trade recommendations, then Astor Ridge will accept payments determined by you.
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- • I also direct you to our disclaimer on our email footer:
- • This marketing was prepared by Christopher Williams, a consultant with Astor Ridge. It is not appropriate to characterize this e-mail as independent investment research as referred to in MiFID and that it should be treated as a marketing communication even if it contains a trade recommendation. A history of marketing materials and research reports can be provided upon request in compliance with the European Commission’s Market Abuse Regulation. Astor Ridge takes no proprietary trading risk, has no market making facilities, and has no position in any security we discuss in this e-mail. The views in this e-mail are those of the author(s) and are subject to change, and Astor Ridge has no obligation to update its opinions or the information in this publication. If this e-mail contains opinions or recommendations, those opinions or recommendations reflect solely and exclusively those of the author, and such opinions were prepared independently of any other interests, including those of Astor Ridge and/or its affiliates. This publication does not constitute personal investment advice or take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of the those who receive it. The securities discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. Astor Ridge recommends that investors independently evaluate each issuer, security or instrument discussed herein, and consult any independent advisors they believe necessary. The value of, and income from, any investment may fluctuate from day to day as a result of changes in relevant economic markets (including changes in market liquidity). The information herein is not intended to predict actual results, which may differ substantially from those reflected. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
- •
- • You should not use or disclose to any other person the contents of this e-mail or its attachments (if any), nor take copies. This e-mail is not a representation or warranty and is not intended nor should it be taken to create any legal relations, contractual or otherwise. This e-mail and any files transmitted with it are confidential, may be legally privileged, and are for the sole use of the intended recipient. Copyright in this e-mail and any accompanying document created by Astor Ridge LLP is owned by Astor Ridge LLP.
- •
- • Astor Ridge LLP is regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA): Registration Number 579287
- • Astor Ridge LLP is Registered in England and Wales with Companies House: Registration Number OC372185
- • Astor Ridge NA LLP is a member of FINRA/SIPC: CRD Number 282626
- • Astor Ridge NA LLP is a member of the National Futures Association (NFA): Firm ID Number 0499303
- • Astor Ridge NA LLP is Registered in England and Wales with Companies House: Registration Number OC401796
- •
- •
- • If there is anything else you require from us to continue receiving our market communications, or prefer a different medium for access (e.g. publicly available password protected access on the Astor Ridge website), please do let me know.
- •
- • Otherwise, if you are more comfortable to deem consent by simply acknowledging receipt of this email, and continuing our trading relationship under our updated terms of business below, without registering your disapproval, we are happy to proceed on that basis.
- •
- • Many thanks,
- •
- • Chris
**SPECIAL SINGLE STOCK PRESENTATION** DESPITE THE WARNING SIGNS FROM PELTON, NETFLIX ETC IT APPEARS NO ONE IF TAKING PROFITS AT ALL, EVEN IN ESTABLISHED STOCKS.
**SPECIAL SINGLE STOCK PRESENTATION** DESPITE THE WARNING SIGNS FROM PELTON, NETFLIX ETC IT APPEARS NO ONE IF TAKING PROFITS AT ALL, EVEN IN ESTABLISHED STOCKS.
TECHNICALLY IT SEEMS "NO ONE" IS PROGRAMMED ANYMORE TO TAKE PROFITS, THE RALLY FROM 2008 LOWS HAS ENGRAINED A "BUY DIPS" MENTALITY AS HISTORICALLY THE MARKET ALWAYS RECOVERS.
SADLY, WE ARE NOW CLOSE TO CONFIRMING SOME SIGNIFICANT BREAK LEVELS. NO ONE SEEMS INCLINED TO SELL ANYTHING JUDGING BY THE LOW VOLUMES AND THE APPARENT "CUSHION" OF PROFIT. THIS SEEMS TO BE KEEPING PEOPLE IN POSITIONS.
ADMITIEDLY A LOT OF THE VOLUME IN THE STOCKS MAKING UP THIS PRESENTATION HAVE BEEN INITIATED AT THE INCEPTION-LOWS BUT AS NETFLIX ETC SHOW THERE IS A FAST ROUTE TO "ZERO".
THERE WILL BE NO VOLUME FOR AN OUT EVEN IF PEOPLE FINALLY WANT TO.
THIS SEEMS A MODERN PHENOMENA AND SUITS THE OVER ALL BULL RUN WE HAVE SEEN BUT IT COULD BECOME AND EXPONENTIAL "WASH OUT". EVERYTHING IS LIKELY TO BE MAGNIFIED AND MIGHT BE THE PERFECT DRIVER FOR BOND YIELDS TO FALL.
ALSO A REMINDER THAT A LOT OF INVESTMENT IN THESE MARKETS IS VIA "FREE TO EXECUTE" UNREGULATED PLATFORMS THAT EXPLODED DURING THE "LOCK DOWN" PERIOD. COINBASE SOME 98 MILLION PARTICIPANTS FOR CRYPTO HAS ALREADY STATED PEOPLE MANY WONT SEE THEIR MONEY IF THEY CONTINUE TO OPERATE AT A LOSS.
ASTOR RIDGE : Independent Ideas, Research, Liquidity, Anonymity and Trusted Experience.
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- • This marketing was prepared by Christopher Williams, a consultant with Astor Ridge. It is not appropriate to characterize this e-mail as independent investment research as referred to in MiFID and that it should be treated as a marketing communication even if it contains a trade recommendation. A history of marketing materials and research reports can be provided upon request in compliance with the European Commission's Market Abuse Regulation. Astor Ridge takes no proprietary trading risk, has no market making facilities, and has no position in any security we discuss in this e-mail. The views in this e-mail are those of the author(s) and are subject to change, and Astor Ridge has no obligation to update its opinions or the information in this publication. If this e-mail contains opinions or recommendations, those opinions or recommendations reflect solely and exclusively those of the author, and such opinions were prepared independently of any other interests, including those of Astor Ridge and/or its affiliates. This publication does not constitute personal investment advice or take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of the those who receive it. The securities discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. Astor Ridge recommends that investors independently evaluate each issuer, security or instrument discussed herein, and consult any independent advisors they believe necessary. The value of, and income from, any investment may fluctuate from day to day as a result of changes in relevant economic markets (including changes in market liquidity). The information herein is not intended to predict actual results, which may differ substantially from those reflected. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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US STOCKS : STOCKS HAVE PAUSED “BUT” STILL REMAIN VERY WEAK AND SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO THE “MAJOR” BOND YIELD LEG LOWER.
US STOCKS : STOCKS HAVE PAUSED “BUT” STILL REMAIN VERY WEAK AND SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO THE “MAJOR” BOND YIELD LEG LOWER.
ANY “HOLD” SHOULD ENTICE THE “BUY ALL DIPS” BUYERS BACK IN, REMEMBER THIS IS A “DAMAGED GOODS”.
PREVIOUSLY :
THIS SHOULD ONLY BE A SHORT-TERM HOLD GIVEN BOND YIELDS HAVE POSTED NEW LOWS AND THEIR LONGTERM CHARTS NOW HAVE A “TOP”.
BITCOIN LOOKS TO HAVE GONE TOO FAR SO LIKE STOCKS MAY HOLD TEMPORARILY.
THE RUSSELL IS TESTING THE 2021 RANGE-VOLUME AREA, THUS KEY IF IT FAILS HERE!
SINGLE STOCKS HAVE NOW FORMED LONGTERM TOPS AND LOOKING EXTREMLY VULNERABLE, PROVIDING WE ACHIEVE WEAK MONTHLY CLOSES.
INTEL HAS RECOGNISED IT’S HUGE LEVEL 42.04, WE ARE THERE NOW! IF BREACHED IT SHOULD HELP SIGNAL MAJOOR FAILURE ELSEWHERE.
ASTOR RIDGE : Independent Ideas, Research, Liquidity, Anonymity and Trusted Experience.
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- Email: chris.williams@astorridge.com
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- • I provide our research notification below for your convenience:
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- • Research Unbundling:
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- • Astor Ridge does not provide independent research. We have no dedicated or paid strategists, research portals, or research subscriptions. However, you may receive unsolicited marketing communications from our Introducing Brokers from time to time, which may refer to specific trade recommendations. These recommendations are based solely on the opinion of the author, and are not official research recommendations of Astor Ridge.We have considered guidance from ESMA, and any written material from our Introducing Brokers that might fall within the scope of the rules will be provided for free, and made publicly available on our website, to any EU Investment firm that registers for it.
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- • If you are a MiFID firm and do not agree with our approach, and instead believe that you must pay for written commentary or trade recommendations, then Astor Ridge will accept payments determined by you.
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- • I also direct you to our disclaimer on our email footer:
- • This marketing was prepared by Christopher Williams, a consultant with Astor Ridge. It is not appropriate to characterize this e-mail as independent investment research as referred to in MiFID and that it should be treated as a marketing communication even if it contains a trade recommendation. A history of marketing materials and research reports can be provided upon request in compliance with the European Commission’s Market Abuse Regulation. Astor Ridge takes no proprietary trading risk, has no market making facilities, and has no position in any security we discuss in this e-mail. The views in this e-mail are those of the author(s) and are subject to change, and Astor Ridge has no obligation to update its opinions or the information in this publication. If this e-mail contains opinions or recommendations, those opinions or recommendations reflect solely and exclusively those of the author, and such opinions were prepared independently of any other interests, including those of Astor Ridge and/or its affiliates. This publication does not constitute personal investment advice or take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of the those who receive it. The securities discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. Astor Ridge recommends that investors independently evaluate each issuer, security or instrument discussed herein, and consult any independent advisors they believe necessary. The value of, and income from, any investment may fluctuate from day to day as a result of changes in relevant economic markets (including changes in market liquidity). The information herein is not intended to predict actual results, which may differ substantially from those reflected. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
- •
- • You should not use or disclose to any other person the contents of this e-mail or its attachments (if any), nor take copies. This e-mail is not a representation or warranty and is not intended nor should it be taken to create any legal relations, contractual or otherwise. This e-mail and any files transmitted with it are confidential, may be legally privileged, and are for the sole use of the intended recipient. Copyright in this e-mail and any accompanying document created by Astor Ridge LLP is owned by Astor Ridge LLP.
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- • Astor Ridge LLP is regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA): Registration Number 579287
- • Astor Ridge LLP is Registered in England and Wales with Companies House: Registration Number OC372185
- • Astor Ridge NA LLP is a member of FINRA/SIPC: CRD Number 282626
- • Astor Ridge NA LLP is a member of the National Futures Association (NFA): Firm ID Number 0499303
- • Astor Ridge NA LLP is Registered in England and Wales with Companies House: Registration Number OC401796
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- • If there is anything else you require from us to continue receiving our market communications, or prefer a different medium for access (e.g. publicly available password protected access on the Astor Ridge website), please do let me know.
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- • Otherwise, if you are more comfortable to deem consent by simply acknowledging receipt of this email, and continuing our trading relationship under our updated terms of business below, without registering your disapproval, we are happy to proceed on that basis.
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- • Many thanks,
- •
- • Chris
**SPECIAL CPI PRESENTATION** : CANADIAN CPI REMAINS “NEAR” ITS RESISTANCE LEVELS, NEXT WE AWAIT THE US CPI FOR FURTHER GUIDANCE.
**SPECIAL CPI PRESENTATION** : CANADIAN CPI REMAINS “NEAR” ITS RESISTANCE LEVELS, NEXT WE AWAIT THE US CPI FOR FURTHER GUIDANCE.
CANADA REMAINS IN THE THICK OF THE MULTIYEAR RETRACEMENTS AND TREND LINES FROM TODAYS DATA.
WE ARE GETTING CLOSE TO SOME MAJOR MULTI-YEAR RETRACEMENTS.
PREVIOUSLY :
THE QUESTION IS HOW MUCH LONGER BEFORE BREAKEVENS “FORM” THOSE LONG-TERM TOPS!
THIS 2008 THEME CONTINUES TO RE-OCCUR AND THE ASSOCIATED BREAKEVENS ARE TECHNICALLY FORMING “LIFETIME” HIGHS.
I HAVE ALSO INCLUDED THEIR 30YR BREAKEVENS FOR MOST COUNTRIES.
ASTOR RIDGE : Independent Ideas, Research, Liquidity, Anonymity and Trusted Experience.
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- Email: chris.williams@astorridge.com
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- • I provide our research notification below for your convenience:
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- • Research Unbundling:
- •
- • Astor Ridge does not provide independent research. We have no dedicated or paid strategists, research portals, or research subscriptions. However, you may receive unsolicited marketing communications from our Introducing Brokers from time to time, which may refer to specific trade recommendations. These recommendations are based solely on the opinion of the author, and are not official research recommendations of Astor Ridge.We have considered guidance from ESMA, and any written material from our Introducing Brokers that might fall within the scope of the rules will be provided for free, and made publicly available on our website, to any EU Investment firm that registers for it.
- •
- • If you are a MiFID firm and do not agree with our approach, and instead believe that you must pay for written commentary or trade recommendations, then Astor Ridge will accept payments determined by you.
- •
- •
- •
- • I also direct you to our disclaimer on our email footer:
- • This marketing was prepared by Christopher Williams, a consultant with Astor Ridge. It is not appropriate to characterize this e-mail as independent investment research as referred to in MiFID and that it should be treated as a marketing communication even if it contains a trade recommendation. A history of marketing materials and research reports can be provided upon request in compliance with the European Commission’s Market Abuse Regulation. Astor Ridge takes no proprietary trading risk, has no market making facilities, and has no position in any security we discuss in this e-mail. The views in this e-mail are those of the author(s) and are subject to change, and Astor Ridge has no obligation to update its opinions or the information in this publication. If this e-mail contains opinions or recommendations, those opinions or recommendations reflect solely and exclusively those of the author, and such opinions were prepared independently of any other interests, including those of Astor Ridge and/or its affiliates. This publication does not constitute personal investment advice or take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of the those who receive it. The securities discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. Astor Ridge recommends that investors independently evaluate each issuer, security or instrument discussed herein, and consult any independent advisors they believe necessary. The value of, and income from, any investment may fluctuate from day to day as a result of changes in relevant economic markets (including changes in market liquidity). The information herein is not intended to predict actual results, which may differ substantially from those reflected. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
- •
- • You should not use or disclose to any other person the contents of this e-mail or its attachments (if any), nor take copies. This e-mail is not a representation or warranty and is not intended nor should it be taken to create any legal relations, contractual or otherwise. This e-mail and any files transmitted with it are confidential, may be legally privileged, and are for the sole use of the intended recipient. Copyright in this e-mail and any accompanying document created by Astor Ridge LLP is owned by Astor Ridge LLP.
- •
- • Astor Ridge LLP is regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA): Registration Number 579287
- • Astor Ridge LLP is Registered in England and Wales with Companies House: Registration Number OC372185
- • Astor Ridge NA LLP is a member of FINRA/SIPC: CRD Number 282626
- • Astor Ridge NA LLP is a member of the National Futures Association (NFA): Firm ID Number 0499303
- • Astor Ridge NA LLP is Registered in England and Wales with Companies House: Registration Number OC401796
- •
- •
- • If there is anything else you require from us to continue receiving our market communications, or prefer a different medium for access (e.g. publicly available password protected access on the Astor Ridge website), please do let me know.
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- • Otherwise, if you are more comfortable to deem consent by simply acknowledging receipt of this email, and continuing our trading relationship under our updated terms of business below, without registering your disapproval, we are happy to proceed on that basis.
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- • Many thanks,
- •
- • Chris
SWAPS IDEAS AND ERZ2-Z3 UPDATE : GIVEN CURVES ARE STEEPENING BASED ON THEIR RSI DISLOCATIONS THEN THESE MONTHLY CHARTS OFFER “HUGE” LONGTERM OPPORTUNITIES.
SWAPS IDEAS AND ERZ2-Z3 UPDATE : GIVEN CURVES ARE STEEPENING BASED ON THEIR RSI DISLOCATIONS THEN THESE MONTHLY CHARTS OFFER “HUGE” LONGTERM OPPORTUNITIES.
ALL MONTHLY RSI’S REMAIN EXTREMLY STRETCHED THUS IS WE REVERSE IT WILL BE FOR SOME TIME!
BOTH THE US AND UK 1Y1Y STAND OUT THE MOST GIVEN THEY ARE BOTH AT MULTI YEAR RETRACEMENTS.
PREVIOUSLY :
THE MONTHLY RSI DISLOCATIONS STILL TARGET A MORE MAJOR LONGTERM MOVE LOWER, BUT THE DAILY IS YET TO FIND AN EXTENSION! THE OPPORTUNITY IS THERE BUT JUST NOT YET, WELL WORTH WATCHING!
ALSO HAVE INCLUDED THE ERZ2-Z3 WHICH TECHNICALLY IS A TEASE HERE AS DON’T WANT TO MISS THE NEXT LEG LOWER. SUB 95 SHOULD CONSTITUTE A FRESH BREAK LOWER.
**LEVELS MAY VARY GIVEN THE USE OF LINE CHARTS**.
ASTOR RIDGE : Independent Ideas, Research, Liquidity, Anonymity and Trusted Experience.
- UK: 14-16 Dowgate Hill, London EC4R 2SU
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- Office: +44 (0) 203 143 4174
- Mobile: +44 (0) 7980708683
- Email: chris.williams@astorridge.com
- Web: www.AstorRidge.com
- • I provide our research notification below for your convenience:
- •
- • Research Unbundling:
- •
- • Astor Ridge does not provide independent research. We have no dedicated or paid strategists, research portals, or research subscriptions. However, you may receive unsolicited marketing communications from our Introducing Brokers from time to time, which may refer to specific trade recommendations. These recommendations are based solely on the opinion of the author, and are not official research recommendations of Astor Ridge.We have considered guidance from ESMA, and any written material from our Introducing Brokers that might fall within the scope of the rules will be provided for free, and made publicly available on our website, to any EU Investment firm that registers for it.
- •
- • If you are a MiFID firm and do not agree with our approach, and instead believe that you must pay for written commentary or trade recommendations, then Astor Ridge will accept payments determined by you.
- •
- •
- •
- • I also direct you to our disclaimer on our email footer:
- • This marketing was prepared by Christopher Williams, a consultant with Astor Ridge. It is not appropriate to characterize this e-mail as independent investment research as referred to in MiFID and that it should be treated as a marketing communication even if it contains a trade recommendation. A history of marketing materials and research reports can be provided upon request in compliance with the European Commission’s Market Abuse Regulation. Astor Ridge takes no proprietary trading risk, has no market making facilities, and has no position in any security we discuss in this e-mail. The views in this e-mail are those of the author(s) and are subject to change, and Astor Ridge has no obligation to update its opinions or the information in this publication. If this e-mail contains opinions or recommendations, those opinions or recommendations reflect solely and exclusively those of the author, and such opinions were prepared independently of any other interests, including those of Astor Ridge and/or its affiliates. This publication does not constitute personal investment advice or take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of the those who receive it. The securities discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. Astor Ridge recommends that investors independently evaluate each issuer, security or instrument discussed herein, and consult any independent advisors they believe necessary. The value of, and income from, any investment may fluctuate from day to day as a result of changes in relevant economic markets (including changes in market liquidity). The information herein is not intended to predict actual results, which may differ substantially from those reflected. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
- •
- • You should not use or disclose to any other person the contents of this e-mail or its attachments (if any), nor take copies. This e-mail is not a representation or warranty and is not intended nor should it be taken to create any legal relations, contractual or otherwise. This e-mail and any files transmitted with it are confidential, may be legally privileged, and are for the sole use of the intended recipient. Copyright in this e-mail and any accompanying document created by Astor Ridge LLP is owned by Astor Ridge LLP.
- •
- • Astor Ridge LLP is regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA): Registration Number 579287
- • Astor Ridge LLP is Registered in England and Wales with Companies House: Registration Number OC372185
- • Astor Ridge NA LLP is a member of FINRA/SIPC: CRD Number 282626
- • Astor Ridge NA LLP is a member of the National Futures Association (NFA): Firm ID Number 0499303
- • Astor Ridge NA LLP is Registered in England and Wales with Companies House: Registration Number OC401796
- •
- •
- • If there is anything else you require from us to continue receiving our market communications, or prefer a different medium for access (e.g. publicly available password protected access on the Astor Ridge website), please do let me know.
- •
- • Otherwise, if you are more comfortable to deem consent by simply acknowledging receipt of this email, and continuing our trading relationship under our updated terms of business below, without registering your disapproval, we are happy to proceed on that basis.
- •
- • Many thanks,
- •
- • Chris